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Charts of the Week - January '05 Issue
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Swing Ideas     Charts of the Week     Education & Analysis



SIRI (short)
Larry Swing - Jan 31, 2005 - While we are fundamentally more bearish than bullish, the most persuasive reason we see for taking a directional bias on the stock is the stock itself... Read More

SMH (long)
Larry Swing - Jan 27, 2005 - During the past six weeks, the markets in general, and technology stocks in particular, have declined. We believe that the recent positive action, especially the runaway gap Wednesday, is evidence of a turnaround. The best candidate is the Semiconductors HOLDRs (SMH), which represents amongst the hardest hit sectors, and has shown the best recovery in the past two days... Read More


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GILD (short)
Larry Swing - Jan 25, 2005 - Declining revenue growth, high valuations, substantial insider selling, and falling analyst ratings spell trouble for GILD... Read More

ORB (long)
Larry Swing - Jan 24, 2005 - The stock is currently trading with a forward P/EG ratio of 0.52. This is a significant discount over the market average forward P/EG ratio. One expects the discount to reflect the market risk. However, with Orbital Sciences, this is not the case; ORB has a beta of only 1.64. Valuations suggest that some of the company's (high) unsystematic risk is being priced. This is not appropriate, and investors of ORB should gain a higher rate of return as a result... Read More

FRM (long)
Larry Swing - Jan 20, 2005 - After a 50-month rally brought the stock from under $4/share to over $28/share, the stock dropped drastically. The decline led, in turn, to the formation of a large reverse head and shoulders pattern... Read More

IM (short)
Larry Swing - Jan 17, 2005 - After a strong and lengthy uptrend, IM broke downwards with high volatility and bearish volume. The stock has recently been consolidating in a small range... Read More

WMB (long)
Larry Swing - Jan 13, 2005 - WMB is technically extremely well positioned... Read More

IMOS (long)
Larry Swing - Jan 10, 2005 - Despite strong numbers and upbeat forecasts, IMOS has fallen 63.7% from 52-week highs of 15.55... Read More

NVDA (long)
Larry Swing - Jan 6, 2005 - From late October to early December, NVDA rose from 13.14 to 24.96. Following this substantial advance, the stock began consolidating within a tight range. This Tuesday, the stock fell to the lower end of this range; Wednesday, the stock began a strong recovery, despite the weak market... Read More

SUNW (short)
Larry Swing - Jan 4, 2005 - The rise and subsequent consolidation of the stock is a double top in the making... Read More

CCUR (long)
Larry Swing - Jan 3, 2005 - CCUR suffered a massive decline of over 75% during the first half of the year. Since then, the stock has doubled (still down 50%), has broken above key resistance, and has formed a bull flag... Read More

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